Should I change my return expectations after the change in capital gains tax?

Over the last few days, many readers have asked us if theey should change their return expectations due to the change in capital gains tax announced in budget 2024.The most significant negative changes are:The long-term capital gains for equity investments have increased from 10% to 12.5%. The increase in tax-free limit to Rs. 1.25 lakhs from Rs. 1 lakhs is relatively insignificant over the long term. Also, see why we do not think much about tax harvesting. Tax harvesting: Should I book Rs. 1 Lakh profit each year to lower Equity LTCG Tax?The change in long term capital gains tax for debt investments made before 1st April 2023 from 20% with indexation to 12.5% without indexation. In many cases, this would result in higher taxes for both debt funds and real estate sales, as shown here:The budget also has bad news for funds holding neither 65% equity nor 65% debt. These long-term gains will also be taxed 12.5% without indexation instead of 20% with indexation (if they previously held more than 35%) equity.When equity LTCG became taxable in 2018, we suggested that investors remove a full 1% from their return expectation after ensuring their pre-tax expectations were reasonable.For now, we shall stick to this and suggest investors not expect more than 12% pre-tax. Ideally, they should invest like they won’t get more than 10% pre-tax.  As the country develops and more investors turn to equity, returns will come down, and taxes will go up! For now, 10-12% pre-tax will work.For debt investments, 7% pre-tax and 6% post-tax should still be reasonable.For the time being, no other change is necessary.Nothing is permanent: We must recognize that these rule changes are not permanent. Like everyone else, the ministry also lives and learns and is subject to pressures from financial product manufacturers or political changes so they could bring back indexation benefits in the future or lower the tax. Or, as many fear, they could increase the tax or, worse, set it to as per slab.Regardless of the tax, we should never increase or decrease risk in the portfolio in any manner only to lower tax outgo. So, no snap reactions, please. Yes, the higher tax hurts, but we should be able to accumulate enough for our goals reasonably. Let us make calm decisions and revise return expectations if necessary in future. Also see, How should I modify my investment strategy after budget 2024?Read more from our budget 2024 coverage Do share this article with your friends using the buttons below. 🔥Enjoy massive discounts on our courses, robo-advisory tool and exclusive investor circle! 🔥& join our community of 5000+ users! Use our Robo-advisory Tool for a start-to-finish financial plan! ⇐ More than 1,000 investors and advisors use this! New Tool! => Track your mutual funds and stock investments with this Google Sheet! We also publish monthly equity mutual funds, debt and hybrid mutual funds, index funds and ETF screeners and momentum, low-volatility stock screeners.Follow Freefincal on Google NewsSubscribe to the freefincal Youtube Channel.Follow freefincal on WhatsApp Podcast: Let’s Get RICH With PATTU! Every single Indian CAN grow their wealth! Listen to the Let’s Get Rich with Pattu Podcast You can watch podcast episodes on the OfSpin Media Friends YouTube Channel.Let’s Get RICH With PATTU podcast on YouTube. 🔥Now Watch Let’s Get Rich With Pattu தமிழில் (in Tamil)! 🔥Do you have a comment about the above article? Reach out to us on Twitter: @freefincal or @pattufreefincalHave a question? Subscribe to our newsletter using the form below.Hit ‘reply’ to any email from us! We do not offer personalized investment advice. We can write a detailed article without mentioning your name if you have a generic question. Join over 32,000 readers and get free money management solutions delivered to your inbox! Subscribe to get posts via email!About The Author Dr M. Pattabiraman(PhD) is the founder, managing editor and primary author of freefincal. He is an associate professor at the Indian Institute of Technology, Madras. He has over ten years of experience publishing news analysis, research and financial product development. Connect with him via Twitter(X), Linkedin, or YouTube. Pattabiraman has co-authored three print books: (1) You can be rich too with goal-based investing (CNBC TV18) for DIY investors. (2) Gamechanger for young earners. (3) Chinchu Gets a Superpower! for kids. He has also written seven other free e-books on various money management topics. He is a patron and co-founder of “Fee-only India,” an organisation promoting unbiased, commission-free investment advice. Our flagship course! Learn to manage your portfolio like a pro to achieve your goals regardless of market conditions! ⇐ More than 3,000 investors and advisors are part of our exclusive community! Get clarity on how to plan for your goals and achieve the necessary corpus no matter the market condition is!! Watch the first lecture for free!  One-time payment! No recurring fees! Life-long access to videos! Reduce fear, uncertainty and doubt while investing! Learn how to plan for your goals before and after retirement with confidence. Our new course!  Increase your income by getting people to pay for your skills! ⇐ More than 700 salaried employees, entrepreneurs and financial advisors are part of our exclusive community! Learn how to get people to pay for your skills! Whether you are a professional or small business owner who wants more clients via online visibility or a salaried person wanting a side income or passive income, we will show you how to achieve this by showcasing your skills and building a community that trusts and pays you! (watch 1st lecture for free). One-time payment! No recurring fees! Life-long access to videos!    Our new book for kids: “Chinchu Gets a Superpower!” is now available!Both the boy and girl-version covers of “Chinchu Gets a superpower”. Most investor problems can be traced to a lack of informed decision-making. We made bad decisions and money mistakes when we started earning and spent years undoing these mistakes. Why should our children go through the same pain? What is this book about? As parents, what would it be if we had to groom one ability in our children that is key not only to money management and investing but to any aspect of life? My answer: Sound Decision Making. So, in this book, we meet Chinchu, who is about to turn 10. What he wants for his birthday and how his parents plan for it, as well as teaching him several key ideas of decision-making and money management, is the narrative. What readers say!Feedback from a young reader after reading Chinchu gets a Superpower!Must-read book even for adults! This is something that every parent should teach their kids right from their young age. The importance of money management and decision making based on their wants and needs. Very nicely written in simple terms. – Arun. Buy the book: Chinchu gets a superpower for your child! How to profit from content writing: Our new ebook is for those interested in getting side income via content writing. It is available at a 50% discount for Rs. 500 only! Do you want to check if the market is overvalued or undervalued? Use our market valuation tool (it will work with any index!), or get the Tactical Buy/Sell timing tool! We publish monthly mutual fund screeners and momentum, low-volatility stock screeners. About freefincal & its content policy. Freefincal is a News Media Organization dedicated to providing original analysis, reports, reviews and insights on mutual funds, stocks, investing, retirement and personal finance developments. We do so without conflict of interest and bias. Follow us on Google News. Freefincal serves more than three million readers a year (5 million page views) with articles based only on factual information and detailed analysis by its authors. All statements made will be verified with credible and knowledgeable sources before publication. Freefincal does not publish paid articles, promotions, PR, satire or opinions without data. All opinions will be inferences backed by verifiable, reproducible evidence/data. Contact information: letters at freefincal dot com (sponsored posts or paid collaborations will not be entertained) Connect with us on social media Our publicationsYou Can Be Rich Too with Goal-Based Investing Published by CNBC TV18, this book is meant to help you ask the right questions and seek the correct answers, and since it comes with nine online calculators, you can also create custom solutions for your lifestyle! Get it now. Gamechanger: Forget Startups, Join Corporate & Still Live the Rich Life You Want This book is meant for young earners to get their basics right from day one! It will also help you travel to exotic places at a low cost! Get it or gift it to a young earner.Your Ultimate Guide to Travel This is an in-depth dive into vacation planning, finding cheap flights, budget accommodation, what to do when travelling, and how travelling slowly is better financially and psychologically, with links to the web pages and hand-holding at every step. Get the pdf for Rs 300 (instant download)